cynthiaismail

Oct 4, 20212 min

Human as the driver of global warming - From AR6 IPCC report

Hello, this is Cynthia from THINK-TEAM!

From its publication, I tried to read the AR6 of IPCC that is relevant to our research.

One of the findings that attract me is the fact that human is the main culprit of global warming for the last two decades.

Source: AR6 IPCC

Currently, the global surface temperature is around 1.1deg C. According to the report, there are two drivers of global warming: human activities and natural processes (e.g., solar radiation and volcanic activities). However, it is clearly shown that the natural processes are almost negligible compared to human activities. You can see that the global temperature increase is mainly caused by human activities in which the combustion of fossil fuel is the primary driver of increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions. Carbon dioxide and methane are the top GHG generated from such activities.

This result is really relevant to our current research project, TIPPING+, which aims to identify how a system of the coal and carbon-intensive region could actually tip towards more sustainable trajectories. You can read further about TIPPING+ here: https://www.su-re.co/post/su-re-venture-there-are-no-positive-or-negative-tipping-phenomena-for-the-energy-transition

As you may know that the energy system is operated by various stakeholders with their own goals, interests, and capacities. Under this project, there are several dimensions that we explore to enact the tipping points, including demography, policy, psychology, and economical dimension. We use narratives to explore how Indonesia's current energy system could tip towards clean energy. I already shared some perspectives regarding the barriers of energy transition here https://www.su-re.co/post/alternative-pathway-of-energy-transition-what-options-do-we-have-other-than-fossil-fuel-part-1 and https://www.su-re.co/post/alternative-pathway-of-energy-transition-what-options-do-we-have-other-than-fossil-fuel-part-2

From the blogs above, I would like to ask, could you share your opinion on what kind of interventions could bring Indonesia towards clean energy? Or share your thoughts if you think Indonesia may experience carbon lock-in in the future.

Thank you for reading!

Further reading:

IPCC, 2021: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press.

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